Lickilicky vs Quagsire (Shadow): the IVs decide

Full-grid view of an IV-decided pair: every focal IV spread (all 4096, stat-product order) against the opponent's top-512 spreads, per shield scenario, plus closed-form reach/deny cutoffs.

This pair has a deep joint-IV analysis: Quagsire (Shadow) vs Lickilicky -- every spread of BOTH sides (4096 x 4096 per moveset/bait grid), closed-form breakpoints, denial tech, and a paste-your-collection checker.

Format: open GL 1500 + Play! banned list, legacy (old system; Worlds-confirmed). Usage: 1801 recent teams across 16 open-GL events (Dracoviz corpus, events since 2026-03; the EUIC/LAIC/NAIC Internationals are excluded as limited-meta events). Shares are team-level and per-variant (Shadow counted separately from the base form). The June 2026 rebalance went live in-game 2026-06-02 (1 p.m. PDT, with the GBL Season 27 switchover), so all recent corpus events predate it EXCEPT the final one - Turin, 2026-06-06/07, played post-rebalance. Model-side ranks are fully post-rebalance. Sim: legacy engine, planes baked 2026-08-10/2026-08-18/2026-08-26, engine 5839391a7596, gamemaster 8f1d6cca5c0f, producer c1395dfa10b9. Cohorts: opponent top-512 by stat product, plus best-SP-per-attack-IV band (labeled separately, never pooled). Focal probe spreads: rank-1 SP and max-attack within top-512. Community Day move injected for Thievul (NS+IW) (Icy Wind), Thievul (IW+PR) (Icy Wind): the pinned sim gamemaster predates that Community Day, so the move was admitted into the species pool deliberately; upstream PvPoke already lists it. Full provenance on the affected entries' cheat sheets.

Lickilicky vs Quagsire (Shadow)

1-1 (IV-decided)

Of your top-512 spreads (bait): 74 beat every top-512 Quagsire (Shadow), 2 beat none, 224 beat its rank-1 spread. Across all 4096 spreads, 74 sweep. No-bait: 0 of your top-512 sweep.

0%50%100%SP ranks 1-16: beats 100.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 17-32: beats 99.7% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 33-48: beats 98.7% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 49-64: beats 97.7% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 65-80: beats 96.6% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 81-96: beats 94.5% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 97-112: beats 85.7% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 113-128: beats 91.6% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 129-144: beats 75.6% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 145-160: beats 81.7% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 161-176: beats 81.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 177-192: beats 78.9% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 193-208: beats 64.7% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 209-224: beats 73.3% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 225-240: beats 62.2% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 241-256: beats 66.1% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 257-272: beats 57.6% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 273-288: beats 65.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 289-304: beats 54.6% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 305-320: beats 56.1% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 321-336: beats 45.3% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 337-352: beats 55.7% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 353-368: beats 37.9% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 369-384: beats 37.5% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 385-400: beats 50.2% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 401-416: beats 34.4% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 417-432: beats 40.3% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 433-448: beats 48.6% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 449-464: beats 29.2% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 465-480: beats 30.3% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 481-496: beats 48.6% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 497-512: beats 34.5% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 513-528: beats 27.8% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 529-544: beats 37.2% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 545-560: beats 25.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 561-576: beats 28.1% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 577-592: beats 30.1% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 593-608: beats 4.6% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 609-624: beats 21.8% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 625-640: beats 23.7% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 641-656: beats 17.4% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 657-672: beats 16.3% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 673-688: beats 15.3% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 689-704: beats 25.4% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 705-720: beats 27.8% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 721-736: beats 9.8% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 737-752: beats 28.7% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 753-768: beats 25.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 769-784: beats 15.4% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 785-800: beats 14.2% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 801-816: beats 20.1% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 817-832: beats 16.5% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 833-848: beats 16.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 849-864: beats 3.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 865-880: beats 14.5% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 881-896: beats 17.4% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 897-912: beats 6.7% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 913-928: beats 5.8% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 929-944: beats 12.8% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 945-960: beats 5.3% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 961-976: beats 1.7% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 977-992: beats 11.5% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 993-1008: beats 8.5% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1009-1024: beats 4.4% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1025-1040: beats 19.3% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1041-1056: beats 6.4% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1057-1072: beats 3.7% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1073-1088: beats 4.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1089-1104: beats 23.4% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1105-1120: beats 10.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1121-1136: beats 5.1% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1137-1152: beats 6.7% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1153-1168: beats 5.7% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1169-1184: beats 6.8% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1185-1200: beats 6.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1201-1216: beats 0.8% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1217-1232: beats 3.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1233-1248: beats 2.9% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1249-1264: beats 3.4% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1265-1280: beats 1.9% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1281-1296: beats 0.5% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1297-1312: beats 4.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1313-1328: beats 3.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1329-1344: beats 1.2% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1345-1360: beats 2.1% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1361-1376: beats 5.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1377-1392: beats 2.8% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1393-1408: beats 0.7% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1409-1424: beats 0.8% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1425-1440: beats 7.8% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1441-1456: beats 1.6% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1457-1472: beats 0.7% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1473-1488: beats 2.4% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1489-1504: beats 3.1% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1505-1520: beats 0.1% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1521-1536: beats 1.3% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1537-1552: beats 2.8% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1553-1568: beats 0.3% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1569-1584: beats 1.3% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1585-1600: beats 0.7% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1601-1616: beats 0.1% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1617-1632: beats 0.2% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1633-1648: beats 0.1% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1649-1664: beats 0.4% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1665-1680: beats 0.2% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1681-1696: beats 0.6% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1697-1712: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1713-1728: beats 0.7% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1729-1744: beats 0.2% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1745-1760: beats 0.6% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1761-1776: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1777-1792: beats 0.5% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1793-1808: beats 1.1% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1809-1824: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1825-1840: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1841-1856: beats 1.2% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1857-1872: beats 1.1% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1873-1888: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1889-1904: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1905-1920: beats 0.3% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1921-1936: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1937-1952: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1953-1968: beats 0.2% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1969-1984: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 1985-2000: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2001-2016: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2017-2032: beats 0.1% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2033-2048: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2049-2064: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2065-2080: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2081-2096: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2097-2112: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2113-2128: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2129-2144: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2145-2160: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2161-2176: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2177-2192: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2193-2208: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2209-2224: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2225-2240: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2241-2256: beats 0.1% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2257-2272: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2273-2288: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2289-2304: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2305-2320: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2321-2336: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2337-2352: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2353-2368: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2369-2384: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2385-2400: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2401-2416: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2417-2432: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2433-2448: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2449-2464: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2465-2480: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2481-2496: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2497-2512: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2513-2528: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2529-2544: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2545-2560: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2561-2576: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2577-2592: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2593-2608: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2609-2624: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2625-2640: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2641-2656: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2657-2672: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2673-2688: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2689-2704: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2705-2720: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2721-2736: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2737-2752: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2753-2768: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2769-2784: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2785-2800: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2801-2816: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2817-2832: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2833-2848: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2849-2864: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2865-2880: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2881-2896: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2897-2912: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2913-2928: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2929-2944: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2945-2960: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2961-2976: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2977-2992: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 2993-3008: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3009-3024: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3025-3040: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3041-3056: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3057-3072: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3073-3088: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3089-3104: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3105-3120: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3121-3136: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3137-3152: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3153-3168: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3169-3184: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3185-3200: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3201-3216: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3217-3232: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3233-3248: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3249-3264: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3265-3280: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3281-3296: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3297-3312: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3313-3328: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3329-3344: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3345-3360: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3361-3376: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3377-3392: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3393-3408: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3409-3424: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3425-3440: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3441-3456: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3457-3472: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3473-3488: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3489-3504: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3505-3520: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3521-3536: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3537-3552: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3553-3568: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3569-3584: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3585-3600: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3601-3616: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3617-3632: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3633-3648: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3649-3664: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3665-3680: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3681-3696: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3697-3712: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3713-3728: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3729-3744: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3745-3760: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3761-3776: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3777-3792: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3793-3808: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3809-3824: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3825-3840: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3841-3856: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3857-3872: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3873-3888: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3889-3904: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3905-3920: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3921-3936: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3937-3952: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3953-3968: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3969-3984: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 3985-4000: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 4001-4016: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 4017-4032: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 4033-4048: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 4049-4064: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 4065-4080: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)SP ranks 4081-4096: beats 0.0% of top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)11024204830724096

Reach or deny (closed form)

DAMAGE-PLAN thresholds (minimal energy-legal plan from zero energy), NOT full-battle guarantees -- shields, energy timing and bulk live in the grids above, and only grid numbers use the word "beats" on this page. All atk/def values are EFFECTIVE stats (shadow multiplier applied -- the scale iv_rank and PvPoke stat displays use). Guarantee vs rank-1 columns are different quantities on purpose.

damage plan (energy-legal) guarantee atk (plan KOs every top-512 Quagsire (Shadow)) atk vs rank-1 (0/15/14) Lickilicky top-512 spreads meeting guarantee meeting rank-1 cutoff top-512 Quagsire (Shadow) denying your rank-1
2x Shadow Ball + 8x Rollout99.9499.93512/512 (4096/4096)512/5120/512

Every cutoff above is boundary-confirmed against the engine damage function at render time (crosses at the printed value, falls short one float below).

Plans NO attainable spread can complete (attainable effective atk tops out at 111.52): 1x Body Slam + 3x Rollout (needs 299.78); 2x Body Slam + 6x Rollout (needs 147.93); 1x Shadow Ball + 4x Rollout (needs 200.08).

Quagsire (Shadow) vs Lickilicky

0-0 (IV-decided outside the top-512 x top-512 block)

Flagged by the Tier-1 screen (an attack-band cohort or probe-spread slice) or by the full-grid audit over all 4096 focal spreads, but the top-512 x top-512 block itself is uniform for this scenario -- the IV-dependence lives outside it, i.e. among off-meta or breakpoint-chaser builds (see the cheat-sheet dig-in and the curves below).

1-1 (IV-decided)

Of your top-512 spreads (bait): 0 beat every top-512 Lickilicky, 0 beat none, 0 beat its rank-1 spread. Across all 4096 spreads, 377 sweep. No-bait: 0 of your top-512 sweep.

0%50%100%SP ranks 1-16: beats 48.9% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 17-32: beats 29.2% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 33-48: beats 27.2% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 49-64: beats 30.2% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 65-80: beats 25.9% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 81-96: beats 22.0% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 97-112: beats 28.4% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 113-128: beats 28.6% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 129-144: beats 31.3% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 145-160: beats 35.8% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 161-176: beats 32.9% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 177-192: beats 25.5% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 193-208: beats 34.2% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 209-224: beats 32.1% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 225-240: beats 22.4% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 241-256: beats 33.7% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 257-272: beats 43.2% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 273-288: beats 31.9% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 289-304: beats 38.8% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 305-320: beats 38.7% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 321-336: beats 38.9% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 337-352: beats 45.0% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 353-368: beats 43.8% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 369-384: beats 45.9% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 385-400: beats 31.5% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 401-416: beats 39.1% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 417-432: beats 33.1% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 433-448: beats 52.8% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 449-464: beats 38.0% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 465-480: beats 39.8% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 481-496: beats 39.6% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 497-512: beats 37.6% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 513-528: beats 47.7% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 529-544: beats 52.7% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 545-560: beats 41.1% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 561-576: beats 43.9% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 577-592: beats 49.9% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 593-608: beats 51.6% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 609-624: beats 44.8% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 625-640: beats 43.9% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 641-656: beats 46.5% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 657-672: beats 54.7% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 673-688: beats 57.0% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 689-704: beats 45.4% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 705-720: beats 46.2% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 721-736: beats 46.3% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 737-752: beats 45.4% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 753-768: beats 55.9% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 769-784: beats 50.2% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 785-800: beats 56.5% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 801-816: beats 47.7% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 817-832: beats 49.5% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 833-848: beats 52.7% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 849-864: beats 57.4% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 865-880: beats 62.0% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 881-896: beats 54.7% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 897-912: beats 53.1% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 913-928: beats 52.0% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 929-944: beats 46.6% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 945-960: beats 62.4% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 961-976: beats 62.4% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 977-992: beats 54.7% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 993-1008: beats 52.2% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1009-1024: beats 49.5% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1025-1040: beats 62.2% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1041-1056: beats 59.9% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1057-1072: beats 60.0% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1073-1088: beats 59.9% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1089-1104: beats 55.8% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1105-1120: beats 55.5% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1121-1136: beats 67.7% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1137-1152: beats 59.0% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1153-1168: beats 68.9% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1169-1184: beats 54.5% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1185-1200: beats 66.7% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1201-1216: beats 52.5% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1217-1232: beats 50.0% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1233-1248: beats 69.1% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1249-1264: beats 60.9% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1265-1280: beats 68.7% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1281-1296: beats 70.1% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1297-1312: beats 70.4% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1313-1328: beats 70.1% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1329-1344: beats 55.2% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1345-1360: beats 54.5% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1361-1376: beats 68.7% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1377-1392: beats 68.1% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1393-1408: beats 78.9% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1409-1424: beats 71.9% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1425-1440: beats 61.2% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1441-1456: beats 65.9% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1457-1472: beats 67.9% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1473-1488: beats 68.3% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1489-1504: beats 73.1% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1505-1520: beats 75.4% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1521-1536: beats 70.4% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1537-1552: beats 60.6% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1553-1568: beats 61.5% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1569-1584: beats 68.6% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1585-1600: beats 77.9% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1601-1616: beats 70.9% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1617-1632: beats 76.0% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1633-1648: beats 79.9% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1649-1664: beats 65.5% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1665-1680: beats 67.2% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1681-1696: beats 63.1% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1697-1712: beats 77.4% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1713-1728: beats 73.6% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1729-1744: beats 78.9% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1745-1760: beats 71.4% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1761-1776: beats 75.0% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1777-1792: beats 65.2% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1793-1808: beats 67.2% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1809-1824: beats 75.8% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1825-1840: beats 79.0% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1841-1856: beats 76.2% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1857-1872: beats 87.2% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1873-1888: beats 81.4% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1889-1904: beats 71.4% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1905-1920: beats 74.1% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1921-1936: beats 74.9% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1937-1952: beats 82.3% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1953-1968: beats 82.4% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1969-1984: beats 80.7% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 1985-2000: beats 82.3% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2001-2016: beats 81.7% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2017-2032: beats 62.9% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2033-2048: beats 79.9% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2049-2064: beats 79.8% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2065-2080: beats 80.4% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2081-2096: beats 87.2% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2097-2112: beats 81.7% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2113-2128: beats 82.3% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2129-2144: beats 78.0% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2145-2160: beats 81.4% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2161-2176: beats 79.9% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2177-2192: beats 87.5% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2193-2208: beats 77.9% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2209-2224: beats 83.2% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2225-2240: beats 72.8% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2241-2256: beats 74.7% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2257-2272: beats 80.0% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2273-2288: beats 80.4% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2289-2304: beats 77.4% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2305-2320: beats 87.6% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2321-2336: beats 86.1% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2337-2352: beats 88.5% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2353-2368: beats 78.3% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2369-2384: beats 80.1% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2385-2400: beats 88.6% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2401-2416: beats 87.7% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2417-2432: beats 90.6% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2433-2448: beats 87.8% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2449-2464: beats 91.1% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2465-2480: beats 88.4% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2481-2496: beats 91.0% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2497-2512: beats 78.5% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2513-2528: beats 86.8% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2529-2544: beats 86.6% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2545-2560: beats 88.0% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2561-2576: beats 83.6% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2577-2592: beats 93.3% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2593-2608: beats 90.9% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2609-2624: beats 85.5% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2625-2640: beats 87.5% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2641-2656: beats 87.7% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2657-2672: beats 92.6% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2673-2688: beats 75.1% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2689-2704: beats 89.1% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2705-2720: beats 83.0% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2721-2736: beats 82.9% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2737-2752: beats 83.0% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2753-2768: beats 89.5% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2769-2784: beats 87.3% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2785-2800: beats 90.6% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2801-2816: beats 91.1% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2817-2832: beats 89.2% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2833-2848: beats 88.5% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2849-2864: beats 92.8% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2865-2880: beats 85.9% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2881-2896: beats 93.3% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2897-2912: beats 92.6% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2913-2928: beats 93.7% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2929-2944: beats 92.9% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2945-2960: beats 95.2% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2961-2976: beats 90.6% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2977-2992: beats 90.6% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 2993-3008: beats 90.5% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3009-3024: beats 95.0% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3025-3040: beats 94.0% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3041-3056: beats 94.7% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3057-3072: beats 94.2% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3073-3088: beats 94.3% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3089-3104: beats 93.1% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3105-3120: beats 93.8% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3121-3136: beats 90.5% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3137-3152: beats 84.8% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3153-3168: beats 91.0% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3169-3184: beats 89.3% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3185-3200: beats 91.2% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3201-3216: beats 91.2% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3217-3232: beats 91.0% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3233-3248: beats 94.2% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3249-3264: beats 95.7% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3265-3280: beats 93.4% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3281-3296: beats 93.6% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3297-3312: beats 93.0% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3313-3328: beats 95.3% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3329-3344: beats 95.1% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3345-3360: beats 97.2% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3361-3376: beats 96.7% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3377-3392: beats 95.0% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3393-3408: beats 95.7% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3409-3424: beats 97.2% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3425-3440: beats 96.3% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3441-3456: beats 98.1% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3457-3472: beats 97.7% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3473-3488: beats 97.5% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3489-3504: beats 96.8% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3505-3520: beats 94.3% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3521-3536: beats 93.4% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3537-3552: beats 93.5% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3553-3568: beats 94.4% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3569-3584: beats 94.4% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3585-3600: beats 95.8% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3601-3616: beats 96.7% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3617-3632: beats 96.7% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3633-3648: beats 95.4% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3649-3664: beats 97.0% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3665-3680: beats 98.2% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3681-3696: beats 98.0% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3697-3712: beats 97.4% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3713-3728: beats 97.9% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3729-3744: beats 98.7% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3745-3760: beats 98.2% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3761-3776: beats 98.6% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3777-3792: beats 99.4% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3793-3808: beats 98.7% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3809-3824: beats 96.7% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3825-3840: beats 96.2% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3841-3856: beats 98.3% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3857-3872: beats 97.7% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3873-3888: beats 98.6% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3889-3904: beats 98.7% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3905-3920: beats 98.7% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3921-3936: beats 99.3% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3937-3952: beats 99.4% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3953-3968: beats 99.7% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3969-3984: beats 99.9% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 3985-4000: beats 99.3% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 4001-4016: beats 99.3% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 4017-4032: beats 99.7% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 4033-4048: beats 99.9% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 4049-4064: beats 99.9% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 4065-4080: beats 100.0% of top-512 LickilickySP ranks 4081-4096: beats 100.0% of top-512 Lickilicky11024204830724096

Reach or deny (closed form)

DAMAGE-PLAN thresholds (minimal energy-legal plan from zero energy), NOT full-battle guarantees -- shields, energy timing and bulk live in the grids above, and only grid numbers use the word "beats" on this page. All atk/def values are EFFECTIVE stats (shadow multiplier applied -- the scale iv_rank and PvPoke stat displays use). Guarantee vs rank-1 columns are different quantities on purpose.

damage plan (energy-legal) guarantee atk (plan KOs every top-512 Lickilicky) atk vs rank-1 (0/15/10) Quagsire (Shadow) top-512 spreads meeting guarantee meeting rank-1 cutoff top-512 Lickilicky denying your rank-1
2x Stone Edge + 13x Mud Shot120.51119.12512/512 (4096/4096)512/5120/512

Every cutoff above is boundary-confirmed against the engine damage function at render time (crosses at the printed value, falls short one float below).

Plans NO attainable spread can complete (attainable effective atk tops out at 142.92): 1x Aqua Tail + 4x Mud Shot (needs 385.47); 2x Aqua Tail + 8x Mud Shot (needs 192.31); 1x Stone Edge + 7x Mud Shot (needs 248.67).

Back to the Worlds 2026 hub | Lickilicky cheat sheet | Quagsire (Shadow) cheat sheet

This project is built on PvPoke, created by Empoleon_Dynamite and released under the MIT license. The battle simulator here is a Python port of PvPoke's open-source battle logic, and all game data (the gamemaster, move stats, type chart, and meta rankings) comes from PvPoke. This project would not exist without it.