Azumarill vs Forretress (Shadow)

Full-grid view of an IV-decided pair: every focal IV spread (all 4096, stat-product order) against the opponent's top-512 spreads, per shield scenario, plus closed-form reach/deny cutoffs.

Format: open GL 1500 + Play! banned list, legacy (old system; Worlds-confirmed). Usage: 1801 recent teams across 16 open-GL events (Dracoviz corpus, events since 2026-03; the EUIC/LAIC/NAIC Internationals are excluded as limited-meta events). Shares are team-level and per-variant (Shadow counted separately from the base form). The June 2026 rebalance went live in-game 2026-06-02 (1 p.m. PDT, with the GBL Season 27 switchover), so all recent corpus events predate it EXCEPT the final one - Turin, 2026-06-06/07, played post-rebalance. Model-side ranks are fully post-rebalance. Sim: legacy engine, planes baked 2026-08-10/2026-08-18/2026-08-26, engine 5839391a7596, gamemaster 8f1d6cca5c0f, producer c1395dfa10b9. Cohorts: opponent top-512 by stat product, plus best-SP-per-attack-IV band (labeled separately, never pooled). Focal probe spreads: rank-1 SP and max-attack within top-512. Community Day move injected for Thievul (NS+IW) (Icy Wind), Thievul (IW+PR) (Icy Wind): the pinned sim gamemaster predates that Community Day, so the move was admitted into the species pool deliberately; upstream PvPoke already lists it. Full provenance on the affected entries' cheat sheets.

0-0 (IV-decided)

Of your top-512 spreads (bait): 226 beat every top-512 Forretress (Shadow), 0 beat none, 456 beat its rank-1 spread. Across all 4096 spreads, 232 sweep. No-bait: 226 of your top-512 sweep.

1-0 (IV-decided)

Of your top-512 spreads (bait): 469 beat every top-512 Forretress (Shadow), 0 beat none, 512 beat its rank-1 spread. Across all 4096 spreads, 1351 sweep. No-bait: 469 of your top-512 sweep.

1-1 (IV-decided)

Of your top-512 spreads (bait): 0 beat every top-512 Forretress (Shadow), 176 beat none, 0 beat its rank-1 spread. Across all 4096 spreads, 0 sweep. No-bait: 0 of your top-512 sweep.

2-1 (IV-decided)

Of your top-512 spreads (bait): 512 beat every top-512 Forretress (Shadow), 0 beat none, 512 beat its rank-1 spread. Across all 4096 spreads, 1426 sweep. No-bait: 480 of your top-512 sweep.

2-2 (IV-decided)

Of your top-512 spreads (bait): 0 beat every top-512 Forretress (Shadow), 2 beat none, 0 beat its rank-1 spread. Across all 4096 spreads, 0 sweep. No-bait: 0 of your top-512 sweep.

Reach or deny (closed form)

DAMAGE-PLAN thresholds (minimal energy-legal plan from zero energy), NOT full-battle guarantees -- shields, energy timing and bulk live in the grids above, and only grid numbers use the word "beats" on this page. All atk/def values are EFFECTIVE stats (shadow multiplier applied -- the scale iv_rank and PvPoke stat displays use). Guarantee vs rank-1 columns are different quantities on purpose.

damage plan (energy-legal)	guarantee atk (plan KOs every top-512 Forretress (Shadow))	atk vs rank-1 (0/9/15)	Azumarill top-512 spreads meeting guarantee	meeting rank-1 cutoff	top-512 Forretress (Shadow) denying your rank-1
2x Play Rough + 11x Bubble	99.10	96.39	0/512 (421/4096)	0/512	512/512 (moot: rank-1 never reaches)

Every cutoff above is boundary-confirmed against the engine damage function at render time (crosses at the printed value, falls short one float below).

Plans NO attainable spread can complete (attainable effective atk tops out at 101.32): 1x Ice Beam + 5x Bubble (needs 231.40); 2x Ice Beam + 10x Bubble (needs 115.70); 1x Play Rough + 6x Bubble (needs 192.83).

Stage-0 numbers: this pair carries a stat-stage-moving move, so in-battle stages can shift these cutoffs (deny cutoffs shift optimistically). Grids above include all stage effects.

Forretress (Shadow) vs Azumarill

0-0 (IV-decided)

Of your top-512 spreads (bait): 0 beat every top-512 Azumarill, 0 beat none, 0 beat its rank-1 spread. Across all 4096 spreads, 0 sweep. No-bait: 0 of your top-512 sweep.

0-1 (IV-decided)

Of your top-512 spreads (bait): 0 beat every top-512 Azumarill, 218 beat none, 0 beat its rank-1 spread. Across all 4096 spreads, 0 sweep. No-bait: 0 of your top-512 sweep.

1-1 (IV-decided)

Of your top-512 spreads (bait): 453 beat every top-512 Azumarill, 0 beat none, 512 beat its rank-1 spread. Across all 4096 spreads, 1286 sweep. No-bait: 422 of your top-512 sweep.

1-2 (IV-decided)

Of your top-512 spreads (bait): 0 beat every top-512 Azumarill, 512 beat none, 0 beat its rank-1 spread. Across all 4096 spreads, 0 sweep. No-bait: 0 of your top-512 sweep.

2-2 (IV-decided)

Of your top-512 spreads (bait): 229 beat every top-512 Azumarill, 0 beat none, 392 beat its rank-1 spread. Across all 4096 spreads, 264 sweep. No-bait: 227 of your top-512 sweep.

Reach or deny (closed form)

Plans NO attainable spread can complete (attainable effective atk tops out at 139.65): 1x Rock Tomb + 17x Bug Bite (needs 308.16); 2x Rock Tomb + 34x Bug Bite (needs 142.22); 1x Sand Tomb + 14x Bug Bite (needs 491.76); 2x Sand Tomb + 27x Bug Bite (needs 226.97).

This project is built on PvPoke, created by Empoleon_Dynamite and released under the MIT license. The battle simulator here is a Python port of PvPoke's open-source battle logic, and all game data (the gamemaster, move stats, type chart, and meta rankings) comes from PvPoke. This project would not exist without it.

Azumarill vs Forretress (Shadow): the IVs decide